Why Tinubu could lose to Peter Obi in Lagos
The Lagos stronghold: Obi vs Tinubu

Key questions this article answers:

  1. With one of the highest shares of registered voters, the outcome of the elections in Lagos can significantly impact the overall election results. What does the 2023 Stears Electoral poll reveal about voter preferences for Lagosians?

  2. Tinubu's campaign is facing increasing pressure due to the APC's record in office. This makes the race tighter between Tinubu and Peter Obi in Lagos state. How can we predict the outcome of the presidential elections in Lagos?

 

Yesterday’s release of the Stears 2023 electoral poll results show the Labour Party candidate, Peter Obi leading nationally and as a clear winner in a high turnout scenario.

In this article, we explore one key reason for Obi’s success in the polls. In addition to our national poll, we boosted samples in six states—Lagos, Rivers, Kano, Kwara, Benue, and Plateau. Each state has a 500-strong sample, enough for us to make

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Joachim MacEbong

Joachim MacEbong

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