Why large pipelines don't guarantee returns

In private capital, fundraising is as much about future credibility as it is about past performance. Limited Partners (LPs) are often committing capital to strategies that are still being executed, sometimes by managers entering new sectors, geographies, or market cycles. In that context, pipeline depth has become one of the most commonly cited signals of momentum and investability during fundraising.

This is why General Partners (GPs) talk about pipelines early and often. A large pipeline helps answer the LP’s implicit question: what will you actually invest in once this fund closes? It offers reassurance that capital can be deployed, that sourcing channels are active, and that the strategy is not purely theoretical.

In private capital, a pipeline refers to the set of prospective investments that a manager is actively tracking. This can range from early conversations and inbound ideas to opportunities undergoing formal due diligence or negotiation. At this stage,

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Stears Research

Stears Research

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