November 2025 East Africa Macro Outlook

Contents

  • Executive Summary
  • Ethiopia
  • Kenya
  • Rwanda
  • Uganda
  • Quarterly & annual data tables

Executive summary

  • East African markets continued to post robust economic performances in October, with growth maintaining an upward momentum averaging above 5% across the region. Rwanda and Uganda were the standout performers, expanding by 7.8% and 5.5% year-on-year, respectively, in the second quarter of 2025, supported by strong activity in tourism, services, agriculture, and key mineral exports. Uganda’s plans to commence commercial oil production are expected to lift near-term output growth further above 5%, positioning both Uganda and the wider East African region as increasingly attractive investment destinations.
  • Growth momentum has been reinforced by a relatively favourable inflation and interest rate environment. Uganda and Rwanda experienced notable slowdowns in price pressures in September, largely due to moderating food and stable fuel costs, which have supported a gradual recovery in consumer demand. Ethiopia’s inflation rate also eased to 13.2%, marking the fourth

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Stears Research

Stears Research

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