Key questions this article answers:
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Why does Kwara matter in Nigeria’s presidential politics, and what do Kwarans think about key issues?
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What would a Tinubu victory tell us about the accuracy of the polls?
Nigerians go to the polls in a little under 24 hours from now, and very few people are confident about what will happen next. The 2023 general elections have been a genuine three-horse race, which voters are either surprised by or reluctant to accept.
The last time this happened was in 1979, and even then, things were different. In that election, the National Party of Nigeria (NPN) was the only national party at the time, compared to the United Party of Nigeria (UPN) based in the South-West and the Nigerian People's Party (NPP) based in the South-East.
But this year, two national parties in the mix have both run the federal government, trying to fend off
